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Efforts to restore US-German intelligence cooperation collapse
Negotiations aimed at restoring the intelligence relationship between America and Germany, following revelations last year that Washington spied on the communications of German leaders, collapsed before German Chancellor Angela Merkel met US President Barack Obama last week. The two leaders had planned to make a public statement during Mrs. Merkel’s official visit to Washington last Friday, announcing a new intelligence agreement between their respective countries. But the announcement was never made, as Ukraine dominated the political agenda. IntelNewsreaders will recall the dramatic way in which Germany and the United States fell out in October of last year, after American intelligence defector Edward Snowden revealed an invasive intelligence-gathering operation by the US National Security Agency (NSA). The program targeted the private communications of senior German officials, including those of Mrs. Merkel, for nearly a decade. The New York Times said last week that the collapse of the bilateral intelligence negotiations between Washington and Berlin prompted “bitter recriminations on both sides” about who was responsible for their failure. It appears that German officials insisted on drafting a “no-spy” agreement between the two countries, which would prevent them from conducting espionage operations on each other’s territory. American officials, however, rejected the proposal, arguing it would create a precedent that every other European and Asian American ally, including France, Britain, Japan, South Korea, and others, would wish to replicate. Earlier this year, President Obama assured the German side that the NSA would never again target the communications of Chancellor Merkel. But German officials noted that the President said nothing about targeting other senior German officials, nor did he mention anything about the NSA’s other operations on German soil. Read more of this post
Borderlands: The View from Azerbaijan
By George Friedman
I arrive in Azerbaijan as the country celebrates Victory Day, the day all successor states of the former Soviet Union celebrate the defeat of Germany in World War II. No one knows how many Soviet citizens died in that war; perhaps 22 million. The number is staggering and represents both the incompetence and magnificence of Russia, which led the Soviets in war. Any understanding of Russia that speaks of one without the other is flawed.
As I write, fireworks are going off over the Caspian Sea. The pyrotechnics over the sea are long and elaborate, sounding like an artillery barrage. They are a reminder that Baku was perhaps the most important place in the Nazi-Soviet war. It produced almost all of the Soviet Union’s petroleum. The Germans were desperate for it, and wanted to deny it to Moscow. German strategy after 1942, including the infamous battle of Stalingrad, had to do with Baku oil. In the end, the Germans threw an army against the high Caucasus guarding Baku. In response, an army raised in the Caucasus fought and defeated them. The Soviets won the war. They wouldn’t have if the Germans had reached Baku. It is symbolic, at least to me, that these celebrations blend into the anniversary of the birth of Heydar Aliyev, the late president of Azerbaijan who endured the war and much later to forge the post-Soviet identity of his country. He would have been 91 on May 10. Read more »
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CRISIS Recent Reports
Iran9 May 2014Iran and the P5+1: Solving the Nuclear Rubik’s Cube
Syria8 May 2014Flight of Icarus? The PYD’s Precarious Rise in Syria
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NATO / ACO
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North Atlantic Council stresses collective defence, cyber security during Estonia visit
08 May. 2014
NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen, the Chairman of the Military Committee and Ambassadors from the North Atlantic Council were in Tallinn on Friday (9 May 2014) to show Alliance solidarity, and discuss ways to further enhance the Alliance’s collective defence and cyber security.
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NATO Secretary General visit to Estonia shows strong Alliance solidarity
08 May. 2014
NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen stressed the strength of Alliance solidarity on Thursday (8 May 2014), at the start of a two-day visit to Estonia together with the North Atlantic Council. The visit, focusing on enhancing collective defence and cyber security, takes place as Estonia marks 10 years of NATO membership.
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NATO Secretary General: Ukraine crisis shows defence matters more than ever
07 May. 2014
NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen said Thursday (8 May 2014) the Ukraine crisis has made it more urgent that Allies work together to develop modern military capabilities and reverse the decline in defence spending. “The crisis shows us more clearly than ever that defence matters. That collective defence matters. And that cooperation between the two shores of the Atlantic is the best and most natural way to keep ourselves secure,” the Secretary General said after his talks with Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk.
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